Australia has elevated its terror threat level from “possible” to “probable,” citing an increase in extremist views within the country. The new assessment indicates a greater than 50% likelihood of a planned onshore attack in the next year.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced the change after receiving advice from security services. He emphasized that while the risk of an imminent attack is not present, the rise in extreme ideologies among Australians necessitates heightened vigilance.
The threat level had been at “possible” since 2022, following eight years at “probable.”
Impact of Middle East Conflicts
Mike Burgess, Director General of the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO), linked the decision to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Israel-Hamas war that began on October 7. He noted that the conflict has exacerbated grievances, fueled protests, and increased intolerance, contributing to the elevated threat level.
Recent Violent Incidents
Australia has experienced several violent incidents recently, some motivated by extremism. In April, a knife attack on an Assyrian church bishop and his followers in Sydney was classified as a terrorist act driven by religious extremism.