By Last month was the hottest June on record, according to the European Union’s climate change monitoring service. This continues a streak of exceptional temperatures, indicating that 2024 could be the hottest year ever recorded.
Every month since June 2023 – 13 consecutive months – has been the hottest on record for its respective month, compared to previous years. This data comes from the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).
Some scientists believe that 2024 could surpass 2023 as the hottest year ever recorded. This is due to human-caused climate change and the El Nino weather phenomenon, which have both pushed temperatures to record highs.
Zeke Hausfather, a research scientist at Berkeley Earth, estimates there is a 95% chance that 2024 will be the warmest year since global surface temperature records began in the mid-1800s.
The altered climate has already caused severe consequences in 2024. Over 1,000 people died from extreme heat during the Hajj pilgrimage last month. Heat deaths were also reported in New Delhi, which faced an unprecedentedly long heatwave, and among tourists in Greece.
Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London’s Grantham Institute, said there is a “high chance” that 2024 will be the hottest year on record. She noted that while El Nino is a natural phenomenon, we can stop burning fossil fuels like oil, gas, and coal to mitigate its impact.
The El Nino phenomenon, which warms surface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean, tends to raise global average temperatures. This effect has subsided recently, and the world is now in neutral conditions, with cooler La Nina conditions expected to form later this year.
Greenhouse gas emissions from burning fossil fuels are the main cause of climate change. Despite promises to curb global warming, countries have collectively failed to reduce these emissions, pushing temperatures steadily higher for decades.
In the 12 months ending in June, the world’s average temperature was the highest on record for any such period, at 1.64 degrees Celsius above the average in the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period, according to C3S.
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June 2024 was the hottest on record, continuing a streak of extreme temperatures, potentially making 2024 the hottest year ever.
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2024 hottest year, June heat records, climate change, El Nino, global temperatures, fossil fuel emissions, heatwave deaths, C3S, greenhouse gases, global warming
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2024 Could Be World’s Hottest Year as June Breaks Records
Last month was the hottest June on record, according to the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), continuing a streak of unprecedented temperatures that indicate 2024 could become the hottest year ever recorded.
Record-Breaking Temperatures
Every month since June 2023 has set new records for high temperatures compared to corresponding months in previous years. The C3S reported that these 13 consecutive months of exceptional heat underscore a trend driven by human-caused climate change and amplified by the El Nino weather phenomenon.
Scientific Predictions
Experts suggest that 2024 is on track to surpass 2023 as the warmest year since global surface temperature records began in the mid-1800s. Zeke Hausfather, a research scientist at Berkeley Earth, estimates a 95% chance that 2024 will take this title, attributing it to ongoing climate change and the influence of El Nino.
Climate Consequences
The heightened temperatures have already had severe repercussions in 2024. Over 1,000 people died from intense heat during the Hajj pilgrimage last month, with heat-related deaths also reported in New Delhi and among tourists in Greece. Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London’s Grantham Institute, noted that while El Nino is a natural phenomenon, the impact of human activities, particularly the burning of fossil fuels, exacerbates its effects.
El Nino and La Nina
El Nino, which warms the surface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean, typically raises global average temperatures. Although its effect has lessened recently, the world is currently in neutral conditions, with the cooler La Nina expected to develop later this year.
Ongoing Emissions
Greenhouse gas emissions from burning fossil fuels are the primary drivers of climate change. Despite international commitments to reduce emissions, global efforts have fallen short, leading to steadily rising temperatures over the decades. According to the C3S, the average global temperature in the 12 months ending in June was the highest on record, at 1.64 degrees Celsius above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average
